Rec
Recession Prediction
Topic
N/A
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 3
Pending: 21
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
Following a yield curve inversion and subsequent steepening, a recession typically occurs.
"But when we go back above the line, eventually a recession follows somewhere at the end of it."
Sep 9, 2025
Incorrect
A steepening of the 10-year and 2-year Treasury bond yields often precedes a recession.
"When the 10 and 2-year Treasury bonds gets steeper, like right now, it almost always happens right b..."
Sep 9, 2025
Correct
A recession is guaranteed to happen in the future, based on historical patterns of 16 recessions over the past century.
"I will see another recession. How do I know that? Because if we take a look at history, recessions h..."
Jun 27, 2025
Pending
The speaker predicts a recession is coming, though the timing is unknown.
"Now, listen, I'm just a random guy on YouTube. I can't predict what's going to happen tomorrow, but ..."
Jun 16, 2025
Pending
Elon Musk predicts a recession will occur by the end of the year.
"Elon predicting a recession towards the end of the year."
Jun 6, 2025
Incorrect
Elon Musk predicted a recession would occur later in the year due to ongoing tariffs.
"Elon Musk even tweeted the bankrupting America is not okay. The bill, and this is where things take ..."
Jun 6, 2025
Incorrect
The speaker predicts that recessions will continue to occur, averaging more than one per decade based on historical data.
"Recessions happen. Recessions have happened in the past. We've seen a recession pretty much every de..."
Dec 7, 2024
Pending
Recessions occur unexpectedly, not when widely anticipated.
"recessions happen but most people don't expect them to happen recessions don't happen when people ex..."
Nov 12, 2024
Pending
A recession is guaranteed to occur, with a pattern of occurring every decade.
"I guarantee a recession is going to come. I can bet you whatever amount of money you want you just d..."
Sep 29, 2024
Pending
Danielle de Martino Booth believes the US has been in a recession since October 2023, based on rising unemployment rates across all 50 states.
"former fed Insider Danielle de Martino Booth believes that the US has actually been in a recession s..."
Jun 11, 2024
Pending
The S Ru indicator, which has predicted recessions for decades, is currently at 37 and slowly rising, nearing the 45 threshold for confirmed recession.
"There's also an indicator known as the S Ru the S Ru has been able to accurately predict every reces..."
Jun 11, 2024
Pending
Based on historical data, a recession is expected to start approximately 1.5 years after a yield curve inversion. The yield curve inverted in early to mid-2022, suggesting a recession could occur around late 2023 or early 2024.
"generally it takes about a year and a half from when the yield curve converts to an actual recession..."
Sep 22, 2023
Pending
Based on historical data since 1955, the US economy is predicted to experience a recession within two years, given current conditions of inflation above 4% and unemployment below 5%.
"since 1955 the U.S economy has always experienced a recession within two years from every quarter in..."
Feb 13, 2023
Pending
An inverted yield curve has historically preceded recessions by approximately one year.
"it has been seen that for all recessions since 1960 an inverted heel curve was seen almost one year ..."
Feb 12, 2023
Pending
Inverted yield curves have repeatedly been followed by recessions.
"the moment it's inverted it was followed by recessions and this has been proven multiple times"
Feb 12, 2023
Pending
Historically, inverted yield curves have consistently led to recessions.
"every single time you can see that an inverted yield curve has led to a recession"
Feb 12, 2023
Pending
The inverted yield curve between the two and ten year treasury bonds has reliably predicted recessions.
"if this line drops below the zero horizontal line right here like it already has it has reliably alm..."
Nov 14, 2022
Pending
The Leading Economic Index (LEI) reliably predicts recessions seven months into the future.
"the Lei the Lei stands for the leading economic index and what it does is it takes a bunch of leadin..."
Nov 14, 2022
Pending
The speaker predicts with high confidence that Thursday's GDP numbers will be negative, indicating a recession in the first six months of the year.
"if I were a betting man which I'm not I bet there's a really solid chance that Thursday this week th..."
Jul 25, 2022
Pending
There is a high probability of being in a recession, with confirmation expected on July 28th at 8:30 AM upon the BEA's release of the second quarter advance estimate.
"which means there's a good chance we're already in a recession and we're about to find out next week..."
Jul 23, 2022
Pending
A second consecutive quarter of negative GDP would signify a full-blown recession.
"if we got another quarter of a negative gdp we would be in a full-blown recession"
May 9, 2022
Pending
The confluence of various economic indicators suggests a probable recession in 2023.
"it's the amalgamation of all these little things working together that suggests a probable recession..."
Apr 22, 2022
Pending
Fannie Mae predicts a mild recession in 2023.
"Fannie Mae just released but long story short start saving your money because they're predicting a m..."
Apr 22, 2022
Pending
A recession is highly probable given inflation rates above 5%, a historical pattern observed over the last 70 years.
"any time we've had an inflation reading of above five percent we have always followed that with the ..."
Feb 7, 2022
Pending
An inverted yield curve, which has historically predicted nine out of ten recessions since 1955, is a potential signal of a coming recession, although the current yield curve is described as flattened rather than inverted.
"it's predicted nine of the recessions that have happened since 1955 in the year 2021 the yield curve..."
Jan 3, 2022
Pending